NFL Pick-Axe For Week 9

Thejim

By Thejim
6 Nov 2009 10:43 am

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I was 8-5 last week with my picks.  Not bad for a guy who does not wear a paper bag over his head.  Once again I guarantee you these are all 100% locks, unless they’re not.

Packers (-9.5) at Buccaneers

The battle of the bays won’t be much of a battle.  Green Bay is slightly better than mediocre and Tampa is “drown yourself in your bathtub” bad.  Don’t fall into the trap thinking Tampa is due.  The only thing they’re due for is a 1-15 season.  Green Bay and the points.

Bengals (+2.5) vs Ravens

I’m having a hard time justifying this pick to myself, let alone my adoring public.  I have a gut feeling that the Ravens will fall flat after demolishing the previously unbeaten Broncos last week.  Plus, I love me a home underdog.

Jaguars (-6.5) vs Chiefs

The Jags look kinda tough one week and horrible the next.  The Chiefs look awful every week and have players trying to jump ship left and right.  If the bad Jags show up, this might be close for a while, but have faith that the Chiefs will fall apart in the end to the tune of at least one TD.

Falcons (-10.5) vs Redskins

I really thought Washington would at least start to turn things around by now, but it hasn’t happened and now I’m not sure it’s going to.  The Falcons gave the Saints all they could handle last week and should overwhelm Dan Snyder’s bunch of high-priced underachievers.

Bears (-2.5) vs Cardinals

Chicago is generally unbeatable at Soldier Field, though the Cards are 3-0 on the road this year.  I have no evidence to back this up, but I just wouldn’t trust Arizona in this game.

Patriots (-10.5) vs Dolphins

Miami can’t throw the ball at all anymore.  And while I love that they’re basically running the option for a full third of their snaps, I just can’t see them getting that scam over on the Pats, aging as they are.  Hobo Bellichick romps.

Texans (+9.5) at Colts

Indy has been flirting with disaster of late and I think the Texans might be able to score enough to get under that 9.5 point spread, but not necessarily win.  Andre Johnson > you

Saints (-14.5) vs Panthers

I hate this pick, but it’s impossible to go against the Saints right now.  Carolina is getting healthier, and while they still can’t really throw, the combo of DeAngelo Williams and Jonathon Stewart in the backfield is pretty nasty.  New Orleans though is the new hotness and pretty much score at will, so I’m riding that train until it derails completely.

Lions (+10.5) at Seahawks

The Lions have been playing a little better lately and I’m of the opinion that Seattle is really, really terrible.  This is a game I wouldn’t touch with a 20-foot poll, even if my kid was playing in it.  Take the Lions to cover, so long as Matthew Stafford and Calvin “Megatron” Johnson are available to play.

49ers (-3.5) vs Titans

This is strictly a home team pick.  The Titans have been pretty terrible this year (save last week) and the Niners finally have Frank Gore healthy, Michael Crabtree available, and former overall No. 1 pick, Alex Smith in the lineup.  They’re going vertical and there’s nothing the Titans can do to stop them.

Giants (-4.5) vs Chargers

I got burned on the Giants last week, so I’m a little shy on this one.  However, I still don’t think the Chargers can be trusted, especially on the road.

Eagles (-3.5) vs Cowboys

The Eagles seem like they’re perfectly capable of running the ball, but just flat out refuse to do it, even when they’re ahead.  That’s completely unrelated to my pick here, but I thought I needed to say it.  Take Philly at home, as I’d like to see the Cowboys struggle and have their stupid QB/WR/Owner soap opera get ugly.

Steelers (-2.5) at Broncos

I’m not at all thrilled about this pick either.  The Broncos tend to play the Steelers very tough and with Ryan Clark out, centerfield will be patrolled by Tyrone “Sawed Off” Carter…never a good thing.  Still, I can’t get behind any team that’s helmed by Kyle Orton, no matter what the altitude.  The Steelers get put in the sleeper, hulk up as they’re hand is about to hit the mat, shake their finger at the Broncos, drop the leg, and all the Yinzers go home happy.

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